FanBoardHQ

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern University · 2024 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#62
Efficiency
-2.7
77th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
3rd
of 14
Georgia Southern Fanboard →

Georgia Southern went 8-5 and was ranked 62nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 73rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 85th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with an 84th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 101st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
3-1
Q4
5-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
55th
-2.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
88th
full season
88th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
96th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Boise StateMountain West#19L 4556-13.10%-2.9Q2
2@ NevadaMountain West#119W 2017+4.7100%-4.4Q4
3vs South Carolina StateMEACW 4214+18.3100%12.9Q4
4@ Ole MissSEC#10L 1352-27.60%-9.5Q1
5@ Georgia StateSun Belt#120W 3821+7.1100%6.1Q4
7vs MarshallSun Belt#37W 2423-4.2100%4.6Q3
8vs James MadisonSun Belt#54W 2814-1.7100%16.1Q3
9@ Old DominionSun Belt#91L 1947-4.00%-31.4Q3
10@ South AlabamaSun Belt#83W 3430-2.4100%2.6Q3
12vs TroySun Belt#113L 2028+11.30%-25.9Q4
13@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#96W 266+2.7100%13.6Q4
14vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#97W 2920+11.8100%-4.7Q4
Postseason
vs Sam HoustonConference USA#56L 2631+4.70%-12.7Q4

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Georgia Southern, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-27.6-7.7+12.3-3-413-96516-313-2614-5Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 84th
SR 73rdYPP 96thEPA 88th
RushingEff 101st
SR 77thYPP 121stEPA 97th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 114th
SR 114thYPP 118thEPA 114th
Rush defenseEff 97th
SR 106thYPP 87thEPA 97th
Dropback rate 55%Tempo +5.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 73rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 41%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 51%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 47%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 69.0Q1 · Allowed: 78.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 109.0Q2 · Allowed: 93.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 58.0Q3 · Allowed: 93.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 117.0Q4 · Allowed: 76.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledGeorgia SouthernOffenseDefense
Georgia Southern Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 73rd
-1.2
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: -0.5
Field position -0.7Finishing drives -0.5= -1.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 84th · Finishing 72nd

Defensive EffRanked 85th
-2.2
Field position: -2.2Finishing drives: +0.1
Field position -2.2Finishing drives +0.1= -2.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 128th · Finishing 68th

2.19 points per drive on offense, 2.19 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(193)59% / 41%45%5.2
Q2(248)56% / 44%44%5.6
Q3(191)55% / 45%45%6.3
Q4(229)45% / 55%41%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(198)9.944%7.4
2nd(151)8.938%6.0
3rd(110)8.040%5.4
4th(4)6.550%6.3
All (463)41%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(194)9.540%4.0
2nd(126)7.144%5.0
3rd(66)5.562%5.2
4th(12)2.283%2.8
All (398)46%4.5

Georgia Southern, all games.